Former UNSCOM Weapons Inspector Scott Ritter Speaks on the Gulf War and the Disarming of Iraq. 

	Room 295 of the Suffolk Law School building in downtown Boston was 
filled to capacity on July 23rd with peace activists, aging Cambridge hippies 
and assorted freaks. One of the organizers for the gathering, United For
Justice With Peace Coalition, handed out green pieces of paper that 
read, "We will not support war, no matter what reason or rhetoric is offered 
by politicians or the media. War in our time and in this context is
indiscriminate, a war against innocents and against children." Judging
from the crowd, and from the buzz in the room, that pretty much summed
things up.

The contrast presented when Scott Ritter, former UN weapons inspector 
in Iraq, entered the room, could not have been more disparate. There at 
the lectern stood this tall lantern-jawed man, every inch the twelve-year
Marine Corps veteran he was, who looked and spoke just exactly like a
bulldogging high school football coach. A whistle on a string around 
his neck would have perfected the image.

"I need to say right out front," he said minutes into his speech, "I'm 
a card-carrying Republican in the conservative-moderate range who voted 
for George W. Bush for President. I'm not here with a political agenda. I'm
not here to slam Republicans. I am one."

Yet this was a lie - Scott Ritter had come to Boston with a political
agenda, one that impacts every single American citizen. Ritter was in 
the room that night to denounce, with roaring voice and burning eyes, the
coming American war in Iraq. According to Ritter, this coming war is 
about nothing more or less than domestic American politics, based upon
speculation and rhetoric entirely divorced from fact. According to 
Ritter, that war is just over the horizon.

"The Third Marine Expeditionary Force in California is preparing to 
have 20,000 Marines deployed in the (Iraq) region for ground combat 
operations by mid-October," he said. "The Air Force used the vast majority of its precision-guided munitions blowing up caves in Afghanistan. Congress 
just passed emergency appropriations money and told Boeing company to
accelerate their production of the GPS satellite kits, that go on bombs
that allow them to hit targets while the planes fly away, by September 
30, 2002. Why? Because the Air Force has been told to have three air
expeditionary wings ready for combat operations in Iraq by 
mid-October."

"As a guy who was part of the first Gulf War," said Ritter, who indeed
served under Schwarzkopf in that conflict, "when you deploy that much
military power forward - disrupting their training cycles, disrupting
their operational cycles, disrupting everything, spending a lot of 
money - it is very difficult to pull them back without using them."

"You got 20,000 Marines forward deployed in October," said Ritter, "you
better expect war in October."

His purpose for coming to that room was straightforward: The Senate
Foreign Relations Committee, chaired by Democrat Joe Biden, plans to 
call a hearing beginning on Monday, July 29th. The Committee will call forth
witnesses to describe the threat posed to America by Iraq. Ritter fears
that much crucial information will not be discussed in that hearing,
precipitating a war authorization by Congress based on political
expediency and ignorance. Scott Ritter came to that Boston classroom to
exhort all there to demand of the Senators on the Committee that he be
allowed to stand as a witness.

Ritter began his comments by noting the interesting times we live in 
after September 11th. There has been much talk of war, and much talk of war 
with Iraq. Ritter was careful to note that there are no good wars - as a
veteran, he described war as purely awful and something not to be
trivialized - but that there is such a thing as a just war. He 
described America as a good place, filled with potential and worth fighting for. 

	We go to just war, he said, when our national existence has been 
threatened. According to Ritter, there is no justification in fact, national 
security, international law or basic morality to justify this coming war with 
Iraq.

	In fact, when asked pointedly what the mid-October scheduling of this
conflict has to do with the midterm Congressional elections that will
follow a few weeks later, he replied, simply, "Everything."

"This is not about the security of the United States," said this
card-carrying Republican while pounding the lectern. "This is about
domestic American politics. The national security of the United States 
of America has been hijacked by a handful of neo-conservatives who are 
using their position of authority to pursue their own ideologically-driven
political ambitions. The day we go to war for that reason is the day we
have failed collectively as a nation."

Ritter was sledding up a pretty steep slope with all this. After all,
Saddam Hussein has been demonized for twelve years by American 
politicians and the media. He gassed his own people, and America has already fought one war to keep him under control. Ritter's presence in Iraq was 
demanded in the first place by Hussein's pursuit of chemical, biological and
nuclear weapons of mass destruction, along with the ballistic missile
technology that could deliver these weapons to all points on the 
compass.

According to the Bush administration, Hussein has ties to the same Al
Qaeda terrorists that brought down the World Trade Center. It is 
certain that Hussein will use these terrorist links to deliver a lethal blow to America, using any number of the aforementioned weapons. The argument,
propounded by Bush administration officials on any number of Sunday 
news talk shows, is that a pre-emptive strike against Iraq, and the 
unseating of Saddam Hussein, is critical to American national security. Why wait for them to hit us first?

"If I were an American, uninformed on Iraq as we all are," said Ritter, 
"I would be concerned." Furthermore, continued Ritter, if an 
unquestionable case could be made that such weapons and terrorist connections existed, he would be all for a war in Iraq. It would be just, smart, and in the interest of national defense.

Therein lies the rub: According to Scott Ritter, who spent seven years 
in Iraq with the UNSCOM weapons inspection teams performing acidly 
detailed investigations into Iraq's weapons program, no such capability exists.
	Iraq simply does not have weapons of mass destruction, and does not 
have threatening ties to international terrorism. Therefore, no premise for 
a war in Iraq exists. Considering the American military lives and the 
Iraqi civilian lives that will be spent in such an endeavor, not to mention 
the deadly regional destabilization that will ensue, such a baseless war 
must be avoided at all costs.

"The Bush administration has provided the American public with little 
more than rhetorically laced speculation," said Ritter. "There has been 
nothing in the way of substantive fact presented that makes the case that Iraq
possesses these weapons or has links to international terror, that Iraq
poses a threat to the United States of America worthy of war."

Ritter regaled the crowd with stories of his time in Iraq with UNSCOM. 
The basis for the coming October war is the continued existence of a 
weapons program that threatens America. Ritter noted explicitly that Iraq, of
course, had these weapons at one time - he spent seven years there
tracking them down. At the outset, said Ritter, they lied about it. 
They failed to declare the existence of their biological and nuclear 
programs after the Gulf War, and declared less than 50% of their chemical and
missile stockpiles. They hid everything they could, as cleverly as they
could.

After the first lie, Ritter and his team refused to believe anything 
else they said. For the next seven years, the meticulously tracked down 
every bomb, every missile, every factory designed to produce chemical,
biological and nuclear weaponry. They went to Europe and found the
manufacturers who sold them the equipment. They got the invoices and
shoved them into the faces of Iraqi officials. They tracked the 
shipping of these materials and cross-referenced this data against the invoices.
They lifted the foundations of buildings destroyed in the Gulf War to 
find wrecked research and development labs, at great risk to their lives, 
and used the reams of paperwork there to cross-reference what they had 
already cross-referenced.

Everything they found was later destroyed in place.

After a while, the Iraqis knew Ritter and his people were robotically
thorough. Fearing military retaliation if they hid anything, the Iraqis
instituted a policy of full disclosure. Still, Ritter believed nothing
they said and tracked everything down. By the time he was finished, 
Ritter was mortally sure that he and his UNSCOM investigators had stripped 
Iraq of 90-95% of all their weapons of mass destruction.

What of the missing 10%? Is this not still a threat? Ritter believes 
that the ravages of the Gulf War accounted for a great deal of the missing
material, as did the governmental chaos caused by sanctions. The 
Iraqis' policy of full disclosure, also, was of a curious nature that deserved 
all of Ritter's mistrust. Fearing the aforementioned attacks, Iraq 
instituted a policy of destroying whatever Ritter's people had not yet found, and then pretending it never existed in the first place. Often, the dodge
failed to fool UNSCOM. That some of it did also accounts for a portion 
of that missing 10%.

Ritter told a story about running down 98 missiles the Iraqis tried to
pretend never existed. UNSCOM got hold of the documentation describing
them, and demanded proof that they had, in fact, been destroyed. He was
brought to a field where, according to Iraqi officials, the missiles 
had been blown up and then buried. At this point, Ritter and his team 
became "forensic archaeologists," digging up every single missile component 
they could find there.

After sifting through the bits and pieces to find parts bearing serial
numbers, they went to Russia, who sold Iraq the weapons in the first
place. They cross-referenced the serial numbers with the manufacturer's
records, and confirmed the data with the shipping invoices. When 
finished, they had accounted for 96 of the missiles. Left over was a pile of 
metal with no identifying marks, which the Iraqis claimed were the other two
missiles. Ritter didn't believe them, but could go no further with the
investigation.

This story was telling in many ways. Americans mesmerized with stories 
of lying Iraqis who never told the weapons inspectors the truth about
anything should take note of the fact that Ritter was led to exactly 
the place where the Iraqis themselves had destroyed their weapons without
being ordered to. The pile of metal left over from this investigation 
that could not be identified means Iraq, technically, could not receive a 
100% confirmation that all its weapons were destroyed. Along with the other
mitigating factors described above, it seems clear that 100% compliance
under the UNSCOM rules was impossible to achieve. 90-95%, however, is 
an impressive record.

The fact that chemical and biological weapons ever existed in the first
place demands action, according to the Bush administration. After all,
they could have managed to hide vast amounts of the stuff from Ritter's
investigators. Iraq manufactured three kinds of these nerve agents: VX,
Sarin and Tabou. Some alarmists who want war with Iraq describe 20,000
munitions filled with Sarin and Tabou nerve agents that could be used
against Americans.

The facts, however, allay the fears. Sarin and Tabou have a shelf life 
of five years. Even if Iraq had somehow managed to hide this vast number 
of weapons from Ritter's people, what they are now storing is nothing more
than useless and completely harmless goo.

The VX gas was of a greater concern to Ritter. It is harder to 
manufacture than the others, but once made stable, it can be kept for much longer. Ritter's people found the VX manufacturing facility that the Iraqis
claimed never existed totally destroyed, hit by a Gulf War bomb on 
January 23, 1991. The field where the material they had manufactured was
subsequently buried underwent more forensic archaeology to determine 
that whatever they had made had also been destroyed. All of this, again, was
cross-referenced and meticulously researched.

"The research and development factory is destroyed," said Ritter. "The
product of that factory is destroyed. The weapons they loaded up have 
been destroyed. More importantly, the equipment procured from Europe that 
was going to be used for their large-scale VX nerve agent factory was
identified by the special commission - still packed in its crates in 
1997 - and destroyed. Is there a VX nerve agent factory in Iraq today? Not 
on your life."

This is, in and of itself, a bold statement. Ritter himself and no 
weapons inspection team has set foot in Iraq since 1998. Ritter believed Iraq
technically capable of restarting its weapons manufacturing 
capabilities within six months of his departure. That leaves some three and one half years to manufacture and weaponize all the horrors that has purportedly motivated the Bush administration to attack.

"Technically capable," however, is the important phrase here. If no one
were watching, Iraq could do this. But they would have to start 
completely from scratch, having been deprived of all equipment, facilities and
research because of Ritter's work. They would have to procure the
complicated tools and technology required through front companies, 
which would be detected. The manufacture of chemical and biological weapons
emits vented gasses that would have been detected by now if they 
existed.
The manufacture of nuclear weapons emits gamma rays that would have 
been detected by now if they existed. We have been watching, via satellite 
and other means, and we have seen none of this.

"If Iraq was producing weapons today, we would have definitive proof,"
said Ritter, "plain and simple."

And yet we march to war, and soon. A chorus of voices was raised in the
room asking why we are going. What motivates this, if not hard facts 
and true threats? According to Ritter, it comes down to opportunistic 
politics and a decade of hard anti-Hussein rhetoric that has boxed the Bush
administration into a rhetorical corner.

Back in 1991, the UN Security Council mandated the destruction of 
Iraq's weapons of mass destruction. Sanctions were placed upon Iraq to 
pressure them to comply. The first Bush administration signed on to this, but 
also issued a covert finding that mandated the removal of Saddam Hussein. 
Even if all the weapons were destroyed, Bush Sr. would not lift the 
sanctions until Hussein was gone.

Bush Sr., and Clinton after him, came to realize that talking about
removing Hussein was far, far easier than achieving that goal. Hussein
was, and remains, virtually coup-proof. No one could get close enough 
to put a bullet in him, and no viable intelligence existed to pinpoint his
location from day to day. Rousing a complacent American populace to
support the massive military engagement that would have been required 
to remove Hussein by force presented insurmountable political obstacles. 
The tough talk about confronting Hussein continued, but the Bush and 
Clinton administrations treaded water.

This lack of results became exponentially more complicated. Politicians
began making a living off of demonizing Hussein, and lambasting Clinton
for failing to have him removed. The roots of our current problem began 
to deepen at this point, for it became acceptable to encapsulate a nation 
of 20 million citizens in the visage of one man who was hated and reviled 
in bipartisan fashion. Before long, the American people knew the drill -
Saddam is an evil threat and must be met with military force, period.

In 1998, the Republican-controlled Congress passed the Iraqi Liberation
Act. The weight of public American law now demanded the removal of 
Saddam Hussein. The American government went on to use data gathered by 
UNSCOM, narrowly meant to pinpoint possible areas of investigation, to choose
bombing targets in an operation called Desert Fox. Confrontation, 
rather than resolution, continued to be the rule. By 1999, however, Hussein 
was still in power. "An open letter was written to Bill Clinton in the fall 
of 1999," said Ritter, "condemning him for failing to fully implement the
Iraqi Liberation Act. It demanded that he use the American military to
facilitate the Iraqi opposition's operations inside Iraq, to put troops 
on the ground and move on up to Baghdad to get rid of Saddam. Who signed 
this letter? Donald Rumsfeld, Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Armitage, Robert
Zoellick, Richard Perle, and on and on and on."

The removal of Saddam Hussein became a plank in the GOP's race for the
Presidency in 2000. After gaining office, George W. Bush was confronted
with the reality that he and many within his administration had spent a
great amount of political capital promising that removal. Once in 
power, however, he came to realize what his father and Clinton already knew -
talking tough was easy, and instigating pinprick military 
confrontations was easy, but removing Hussein from power was not easy at all. His own rhetoric was all around him, however, pushing him into that corner 
which had only one exit. Still, like the two Presidents before him, he 
treaded water.

Then came September 11th. Within days, Bush was on television claiming
that the terrorists must have had state-sponsored help, and that state
sponsor must be Iraq. When the anthrax attacks came, Bush blamed Iraq
again. Both times, he had no basis whatsoever in fact for his claims. 
The habit of lambasting Iraq, and the opportunity to escape the rhetorical 
box twelve years of hard-talking American policy, were too juicy to ignore.

The dearth of definitive proof of an Iraqi threat against America began 
to go international. Defense Secretary Rumsfeld appeared before NATO not 
long ago and demanded that they support America's looming Iraq war. Most of 
the NATO nations appeared ready to do so - they trusted that America's top
defense official would not come before them and lie. But when they 
tried to ask questions of him about the basis for this war, Rumsfeld 
absolutely refused to answer any of them. Instead, he offered this regarding our utter lack of meaningful data to support a conflict: "The absence of
evidence is not the evidence of absence."

Scott Ritter appeared before NATO some days after this at their 
invitation to offer answers to their questions. Much of what he told them was
mirrored in his comments in that Boston classroom. After he was 
finished, 16 of the 19 NATO nations present wrote letters of complaint to the
American government about Rumsfeld's comments, and about our basis for
war. American UN representatives boycotted this hearing, and denounced 
all who gave ear to Ritter.

Some have claimed that the Bush administration may hold secret evidence
pointing to a threat within Iraq, one that cannot be exposed for fear 
of compromising a source. Ritter dismissed this out of hand in Boston. "If
the administration had such secret evidence," he said, "we'd be at war 
in Iraq right now. We wouldn't be talking about it. It would be a fait
accompli." Our immediate military action in Afghanistan, whose ties to 
Al Qaeda were manifest, lends great credence to this point.

Ritter dismissed oil as a motivating factor behind our coming war with
Iraq. He made a good defense of this claim. Yes, Iraq has the
second-largest oil reserves on earth, a juicy target for the
petroleum-loving Bush administration. But the U.S. already buys some 
68% of all the oil produced in Iraq. "The Navy ships in the Gulf who work 
to interdict the smuggling of Iraqi oil," said Ritter, "are fueled by 
Iraqi oil." Iraq's Oil Minister has stated on camera that if the sanctions 
are lifted, Iraq will do whatever it takes to see that America's oil needs 
are fulfilled. "You can't get a better deal than that," claimed Ritter.

His thinking on this aspect of the coming war may be in error. That 
sort of logic exists in an all-things-being-equal world of politics and
influence, a world that has ceased to exist. Oil is a coin in the
bargaining, peddled as influence to oil-state congressmen and American
petroleum companies by the Iraqi National Congress to procure support 
for this baseless conflict. Invade, says the INC, put us in power, and you
will have all you want. There are many ruling in America today, both in
government and business, who would shed innocent blood for this
opportunity. Ritter made no bones about the fact that Saddam Hussein is 
an evil man. Like most Americans, however, he detests being lied to. His 
work in Iraq, and his detailed understanding of the incredible technological
requirements for the production of weapons of mass destruction, leads 
him to believe beyond question that there is no basis in fact or in the 
needs of national security for a war in Iraq. This Marine, this Republican 
who seemed so essentially hawkish that no one in that Boston classroom 
would have been surprised to find wings under his natty blue sportcoat, 
called the man he cast a Presidential vote for a liar.

"The clock is ticking," he said, "and it's ticking towards war. And 
it's going to be a real war. It's going to be a war that will result in the
deaths of hundreds, if not thousands, of Americans and tens of 
thousands of Iraqi civilians. It's a war that is going to devastate Iraq. It's a war that's going to destroy the credibility of the United States of 
America. I just came back from London, and I can tell you this - Tony Blair may talk a good show about war, but the British people and the bulk of the 
British government do not support this war. The Europeans do not support this 
war.

NATO does not support this war. No one supports this war."

It is of a certainty that few in the Muslim world support another 
American war with Iraq. Osama bin Laden used the civilian suffering in Iraq 
under the sanctions to demonstrate to his followers the evils of America and 
the West. Another war would exacerbate those already-raw emotions. After 
9/11, much of the Islamic world repudiated bin Laden and his actions. Another
Iraq war would go a long way to proving, in the minds of many Muslims,
that bin Laden was right all along. The fires of terrorism that would
follow this are unimaginable.

Scott Ritter wants to be present as a witness on Monday when the 
Foreign Relations Committee convenes its hearing, a hearing that will decide
whether or not America goes to war in Iraq. He wants to share the
information he delivered in that Boston classroom with Senators who 
have spent too many years listening to, or propounding, rhetorical and
speculative fearmongering about an Iraqi threat to America that does 
not exist. Instead, he wants the inspectors back in Iraq, doing their jobs. 
He wants to try and keep American and Iraqi blood from being spilled in a
military exercise promulgated by right-wing ideologues that may serve 
no purpose beyond affecting the outcome of the midterm Congressional
elections in November 2002.

"This is not theory," said Ritter in Boston as he closed his comments.
"This is real. And the only way this war is going to be stopped is if
Congress stops this war."

=============================================================


Subj: Ritter on "The Coming October War in Iraq"
Date: 02-07-27 10:28:41 EDT
From:   papadop@peak.org (MichaelP)
Sender: owner-ykboo@peak.org

http://www.truthout.org/docs_02/07.25A.wrp.iraq.htm

t r u t h o u t | PerspectiveWednesday, 24 July, 2002

The Coming October War in Iraq
By William Rivers Pitt
*William Rivers Pitt is a teacher from Boston, MA. His new book, 'The
Greatest Sedition is Silence,' will be published soon by Pluto Press

=================================================

Below is account of a speech of by ex-UN weapons inspector
Ritter.  A CD of a speech delivered by Ritter on a different date ( 
July 2nd) on this topic can be procured from the Traprock Peace Center, 103A
Keets Road, Deerfield MA 01342 | (413) 773-7427.